← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · CAKE (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC (CAKE)
SIC 5812 — Retail-Eating Places · CIK 887596 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on CAKE
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-23 | 2026-02-23 | +0.61% | -1.56% | -11.20% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-24 | 2025-02-24 | -1.20% | -6.86% | -6.53% | -1.58% | +22.22% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-26 | 2024-02-26 | -0.50% | -1.29% | -2.65% | +6.98% | +51.29% |
| FY2019 | 2020-06-22 | 2020-06-22 | +7.72% | +0.89% | +0.27% | +37.53% | +136.73% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-04 | 2019-03-04 | +2.71% | +2.16% | +6.91% | -3.74% | -21.87% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.