← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · CARG (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on CarGurus, Inc. (CARG)
SIC 7374 — Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation · CIK 1494259 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on CARG
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-19 | 2026-02-19 | +3.32% | +6.20% | +16.40% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-20 | 2025-02-20 | -17.13% | -18.20% | -20.54% | -13.65% | -25.88% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-26 | 2024-02-26 | -1.55% | -3.98% | -3.60% | -0.08% | +28.71% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-01 | 2023-03-01 | -2.51% | -5.51% | -0.99% | +3.31% | +25.03% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-25 | 2022-02-25 | +4.33% | -10.16% | -10.87% | -52.35% | -63.29% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-12 | 2021-02-12 | -5.79% | -13.33% | -21.42% | -10.55% | +7.85% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-14 | 2020-02-14 | +4.07% | +7.31% | -30.34% | -7.86% | +20.80% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-28 | 2019-02-28 | -5.52% | -8.71% | -9.17% | -17.86% | -40.35% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.