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positive_eps_streak on CASEYS GENERAL STORES INC (CASY)
SIC 5500 — Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations · CIK 726958 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on CASY
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-06-23 | 2025-06-23 | +0.09% | -0.03% | +2.54% | +8.91% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-06-24 | 2024-06-24 | +0.04% | -0.95% | -1.08% | -1.92% | +32.99% |
| FY2023 | 2023-06-23 | 2023-06-23 | -0.71% | +8.56% | +14.23% | +24.67% | +70.63% |
| FY2022 | 2022-06-24 | 2022-06-24 | +1.55% | -2.58% | +3.85% | +11.76% | +19.72% |
| FY2021 | 2021-06-25 | 2021-06-25 | -0.01% | -0.94% | -0.17% | -4.77% | -0.54% |
| FY2020 | 2020-06-26 | 2020-06-26 | +4.06% | +5.84% | +15.12% | +21.44% | +39.09% |
| FY2019 | 2019-06-28 | 2019-06-28 | +1.26% | +1.06% | +3.74% | +6.70% | -4.11% |
| FY2018 | 2018-06-29 | 2018-06-29 | -1.47% | +2.81% | +4.65% | +23.33% | +49.62% |
| FY2017 | 2017-06-29 | 2017-06-29 | +1.04% | -1.64% | +0.14% | +4.18% | +0.07% |
| FY2016 | 2016-06-27 | 2016-06-27 | -0.03% | +5.71% | +9.54% | -3.40% | -13.87% |
| FY2015 | 2015-06-26 | 2015-06-26 | -1.99% | +0.32% | +1.60% | +13.40% | +29.83% |
| FY2014 | 2014-12-10 | 2014-12-10 | +4.01% | +6.12% | +9.77% | +6.09% | +54.13% |
| FY2013 | 2013-06-27 | 2013-06-27 | -0.92% | +4.71% | +10.56% | +20.00% | +16.41% |
| FY2012 | 2012-06-26 | 2012-06-26 | +1.36% | +7.20% | +1.13% | +4.13% | +8.73% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.