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positive_eps_streak on COMMUNITY FINANCIAL SYSTEM, INC. (CBU)

SIC 6021 — National Commercial Banks · CIK 723188 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on CBU

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-272026-02-27+0.71%-2.71%-5.42%
FY20242025-02-282025-02-28+1.19%-5.89%-9.59%-9.45%-0.27%
FY20232024-02-292024-02-29-0.24%+4.26%+7.08%+3.60%+38.71%
FY20222023-03-012023-03-01-1.49%-5.75%-11.22%-18.64%-22.31%
FY20212022-03-012022-03-01+3.45%-0.31%+1.82%-8.37%-13.97%
FY20202021-03-012021-03-01-1.41%+6.61%+7.22%+8.73%+2.30%
FY20192020-03-022020-03-02-1.68%-12.81%-9.47%-2.52%+13.32%
FY20182019-03-012019-03-01-1.16%-6.36%-7.37%-1.93%+3.10%
FY20172018-03-012018-03-01+1.74%+4.05%+0.92%+13.62%+23.06%
FY20162017-03-012017-03-01-3.39%-6.11%-11.37%-9.36%-10.11%
FY20152016-02-292016-02-29+2.86%+5.94%+4.52%+10.40%+66.79%
FY20142015-03-022015-03-02-1.34%-1.51%-0.37%+1.09%+11.18%
FY20132014-03-032014-03-03+3.23%+5.08%+8.51%-0.50%+0.81%
FY20122013-03-012013-03-01-0.07%+1.39%+2.20%+4.47%+30.01%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/723188/financials