← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · CFR (all signals) · all methodology

positive_eps_streak on CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, INC. (CFR)

SIC 6021 — National Commercial Banks · CIK 39263 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on CFR

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-052026-02-05+2.15%+0.36%-5.08%
FY20242025-02-062025-02-06-0.34%+1.91%-7.83%-11.73%+7.50%
FY20232024-02-062024-02-06-0.29%+3.33%+10.02%+5.77%+43.13%
FY20222023-02-032023-02-03+1.63%+1.92%+1.56%-20.63%-18.74%
FY20212022-02-042022-02-04+0.59%+2.73%-5.37%-5.44%-3.58%
FY20202021-02-052021-02-05+1.69%+4.48%+19.30%+29.38%+50.42%
FY20192020-02-042020-02-04+1.97%+0.99%-13.44%-21.50%+5.84%
FY20182019-02-062019-02-06+0.68%+2.04%+2.13%+4.61%-3.81%
FY20172018-02-072018-02-07-2.68%+4.22%+5.27%+11.92%-2.57%
FY20162017-02-032017-02-03-0.99%+0.51%+5.28%+4.65%+16.64%
FY20152016-02-042016-02-04-1.73%-5.91%+18.49%+30.16%+88.45%
FY20142015-02-052015-02-05+0.67%-0.74%+1.77%+8.81%-27.21%
FY20132014-02-062014-02-06+0.48%+2.21%+5.13%+5.64%-2.53%
FY20122013-02-082013-02-08-0.58%+1.93%+2.92%+4.25%+25.76%
FY20112012-02-032012-02-03-1.37%-1.84%-0.79%+3.52%+7.73%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/39263/financials