← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · CRMT (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on AMERICAS CARMART INC (CRMT)
SIC 5500 — Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations · CIK 799850 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on CRMT
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | 2023-06-26 | 2023-06-26 | +3.40% | +5.44% | +16.85% | -8.45% | -36.88% |
| FY2022 | 2022-07-11 | 2022-07-11 | -0.19% | -0.11% | +16.53% | -32.25% | +12.02% |
| FY2021 | 2021-07-02 | 2021-07-02 | -1.84% | -3.44% | +10.02% | -14.82% | -25.75% |
| FY2020 | 2020-06-24 | 2020-06-24 | +1.36% | +0.17% | +21.53% | +2.97% | +69.68% |
| FY2019 | 2019-06-21 | 2019-06-21 | +0.47% | +0.68% | +0.61% | +6.47% | +2.04% |
| FY2018 | 2018-06-14 | 2018-06-14 | +2.04% | +4.32% | -1.42% | +30.74% | +36.27% |
| FY2017 | 2017-06-13 | 2017-06-13 | -0.66% | -2.77% | -1.05% | +2.37% | +68.77% |
| FY2016 | 2016-06-17 | 2016-06-17 | +1.74% | +2.54% | +28.89% | +50.38% | +45.07% |
| FY2015 | 2015-06-12 | 2015-06-12 | -1.00% | -3.31% | -9.03% | -33.25% | -55.33% |
| FY2014 | 2014-06-11 | 2014-06-11 | -2.09% | -0.30% | +7.17% | +14.04% | +44.53% |
| FY2013 | 2013-06-21 | 2013-06-21 | +2.09% | +2.63% | +2.42% | +6.24% | -12.03% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.