← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · CVCO (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on CAVCO INDUSTRIES, INC. (CVCO)
SIC 2451 — Mobile Homes · CIK 278166 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on CVCO
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2025-05-23 | 2025-05-23 | -3.40% | -10.42% | -9.37% | +2.61% | — |
| FY2023 | 2024-05-24 | 2024-05-24 | +0.34% | +1.76% | -1.15% | +13.37% | +24.86% |
| FY2022 | 2023-05-19 | 2023-05-19 | +3.10% | -1.61% | -1.72% | +4.07% | +31.52% |
| FY2021 | 2022-05-31 | 2022-05-31 | -2.83% | -3.24% | -11.36% | +16.66% | +16.37% |
| FY2020 | 2021-05-28 | 2021-05-28 | +1.80% | +2.14% | -0.04% | +15.70% | -0.94% |
| FY2019 | 2020-05-27 | 2020-05-27 | -7.56% | -2.35% | -11.22% | -2.22% | +8.81% |
| FY2018 | 2019-05-29 | 2019-05-29 | -1.54% | +1.64% | -1.28% | +22.80% | +26.02% |
| FY2017 | 2018-05-30 | 2018-05-30 | +2.77% | +9.31% | -1.09% | +19.36% | -28.91% |
| FY2016 | 2017-06-13 | 2017-06-13 | -0.65% | +1.22% | +0.50% | +2.60% | +62.72% |
| FY2015 | 2016-06-21 | 2016-06-21 | +1.05% | -1.88% | +12.18% | +9.70% | +45.45% |
| FY2014 | 2015-06-10 | 2015-06-10 | +0.94% | -1.40% | +0.45% | -5.68% | +31.63% |
| FY2013 | 2014-06-11 | 2014-06-11 | -0.99% | +4.11% | +7.45% | -11.23% | +0.17% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.