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positive_eps_streak on DEERE & CO (DE)

SIC 3523 — Farm Machinery & Equipment · CIK 315189 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on DE

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252025-12-182025-12-18-0.94%-1.29%+7.45%+20.62%
FY20242024-12-122024-12-12+0.22%-2.92%-1.25%+6.69%+12.01%
FY20232023-12-152023-12-15-0.86%+2.78%-1.57%-1.15%+16.61%
FY20222022-12-152022-12-15+0.30%+1.41%+2.24%-8.89%-9.82%
FY20212021-12-162021-12-16-0.36%+0.27%+9.31%+11.88%+25.33%
FY20202020-12-172020-12-17+2.33%+1.77%+11.84%+43.78%+32.62%
FY20192019-12-192019-12-19+1.09%+1.77%+0.32%-33.60%+59.62%
FY20182018-12-172018-12-17+2.16%-5.96%+8.32%+8.83%+21.31%
FY20172017-12-182017-12-18+0.29%+3.06%+9.41%+6.79%-3.52%
FY20162016-12-192016-12-19+1.36%+1.61%+3.31%+8.65%+54.31%
FY20152016-02-012016-02-01-2.89%+0.35%+5.53%+11.13%+43.35%
FY20142014-12-192014-12-19+0.16%+0.71%-2.09%-1.59%-13.60%
FY20132013-12-162013-12-16-0.64%+1.99%+1.62%-1.33%+1.33%
FY20122012-12-172012-12-17+0.57%-0.31%+4.25%+7.37%+4.66%
FY20112011-12-192011-12-19+4.19%+6.63%+18.81%+13.73%+20.62%
FY20102010-12-172010-12-17+1.25%+2.48%+11.56%+7.02%-7.96%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/315189/financials