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positive_eps_streak on EBAY INC (EBAY)
SIC 7389 — Services-Business Services, NEC · CIK 1065088 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on EBAY
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-19 | 2026-02-19 | +3.92% | +3.72% | +7.43% | — | — |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-24 | 2022-02-24 | -1.52% | -1.84% | +3.66% | -19.74% | -15.83% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-04 | 2021-02-04 | +1.82% | +1.95% | -11.76% | -4.56% | -5.39% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-06 | 2017-02-06 | +1.25% | +5.49% | +4.50% | +3.84% | +33.59% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-01 | 2016-02-01 | -2.72% | -6.10% | +1.29% | +5.56% | +32.96% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-06 | 2015-02-06 | -0.31% | +3.61% | +11.58% | +6.31% | -2.00% |
| FY2013 | 2014-01-31 | 2014-01-31 | -1.52% | +2.61% | +9.61% | +2.52% | +0.96% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-01 | 2013-02-01 | -2.66% | -1.03% | -3.02% | -8.43% | -8.43% |
| FY2011 | 2012-01-31 | 2012-01-31 | +1.90% | +4.02% | +13.10% | +29.91% | +81.04% |
| FY2010 | 2011-01-28 | 2011-01-28 | +0.16% | +6.27% | +10.56% | +9.14% | +4.19% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.