← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · ECL (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on ECOLAB INC. (ECL)
SIC 2840 — Soap, Detergents, Cleang Preparations, Perfumes, Cosmetics · CIK 31462 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on ECL
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-23 | 2026-02-23 | +0.81% | -0.72% | -14.34% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-21 | 2025-02-21 | -0.33% | +1.63% | -4.93% | -1.00% | +17.62% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-23 | 2024-02-23 | -0.93% | +1.43% | +3.38% | +5.82% | +21.02% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-24 | 2023-02-24 | +0.74% | +3.04% | +1.47% | +9.46% | +41.77% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-25 | 2022-02-25 | -2.24% | -6.76% | -1.19% | -10.40% | -10.39% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-28 | 2020-02-28 | +5.97% | +7.74% | -12.50% | +13.67% | +18.16% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-01 | 2019-03-01 | -0.34% | -0.35% | +4.02% | +7.24% | +13.48% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-23 | 2018-02-23 | +0.88% | -2.28% | +1.38% | +13.45% | +30.04% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-24 | 2017-02-24 | -1.32% | -0.20% | -1.04% | +2.15% | +6.40% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | -3.51% | +0.05% | +4.41% | +10.31% | +17.96% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | +0.36% | -0.45% | -0.84% | -1.21% | -10.20% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-28 | 2014-02-28 | +0.21% | +2.20% | -1.16% | +1.13% | +8.77% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-26 | 2013-02-26 | +1.94% | +2.21% | +4.32% | +15.63% | +40.53% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-28 | 2012-02-28 | -2.83% | -3.58% | -0.17% | +5.27% | +26.29% |
| FY2010 | 2011-02-25 | 2011-02-25 | +0.85% | +0.61% | +3.23% | +9.60% | +31.65% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.