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positive_eps_streak on EQUIFAX INC (EFX)
SIC 7320 — Services-Consumer Credit Reporting, Collection Agencies · CIK 33185 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on EFX
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-19 | 2026-02-19 | +1.11% | +6.43% | -6.81% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-20 | 2025-02-20 | -1.16% | +0.74% | +1.09% | +15.72% | -21.27% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-22 | 2024-02-22 | +0.30% | +3.17% | +0.30% | -6.20% | -6.90% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-23 | 2023-02-23 | -2.16% | -1.28% | -4.27% | +2.72% | +30.60% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-21 | 2019-02-21 | +0.24% | -0.89% | +4.46% | +10.02% | +46.16% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-01 | 2018-03-01 | +5.14% | +8.48% | +6.00% | +4.01% | +0.18% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-22 | 2017-02-22 | +0.12% | +3.50% | +6.45% | +5.12% | -9.64% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-24 | 2016-02-24 | +2.00% | +2.77% | +7.14% | +17.71% | +25.11% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-25 | 2015-02-25 | +0.14% | +1.26% | -1.67% | +8.14% | +15.76% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-28 | 2014-02-28 | -0.71% | +1.00% | -2.67% | +0.79% | +37.16% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-22 | 2013-02-22 | -1.88% | +3.16% | +4.17% | +15.01% | +30.76% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-23 | 2012-02-23 | -0.02% | +0.40% | +2.88% | +4.95% | +27.73% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.