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positive_eps_streak on Elevance Health, Inc. (ELV)

SIC 6324 — Hospital & Medical Service Plans · CIK 1156039 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on ELV

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-062026-02-06-3.39%+2.31%-17.18%
FY20242025-02-202025-02-20-1.38%+0.61%+11.68%+3.71%-12.33%
FY20232024-02-212024-02-21+0.55%-1.23%+1.29%+7.12%-23.35%
FY20222023-02-152023-02-15-0.03%-0.21%-3.52%-5.79%+6.59%
FY20212022-02-162022-02-16-1.58%-3.66%+4.56%+6.38%+9.09%
FY20202021-02-182021-02-18-0.46%+1.32%+19.63%+33.38%+56.63%
FY20192020-02-192020-02-19-3.33%-11.81%-31.68%-9.79%-1.23%
FY20182019-02-202019-02-20-0.53%-2.20%-2.92%-15.48%-4.99%
FY20172018-02-212018-02-21+0.71%+1.44%-2.29%+0.22%+38.16%
FY20162017-02-222017-02-22+0.40%+2.27%+2.34%+8.64%+45.15%
FY20152016-02-192016-02-19+3.88%+4.14%+12.69%+8.39%+28.45%
FY20142015-02-242015-02-24-0.21%-0.88%+7.46%+11.54%-9.69%
FY20132014-02-202014-02-20+0.96%+1.79%+14.23%+20.43%+67.51%
FY20122013-02-222013-02-22-0.74%-0.06%+4.03%+25.90%+49.73%
FY20112012-02-222012-02-22+0.18%-0.71%+0.83%+0.98%-5.25%
FY20102011-02-172011-02-17+0.28%-1.03%-0.47%+20.60%-0.27%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1156039/financials