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positive_eps_streak on EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM)
SIC 1311 — Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · CIK 1006655 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on EPM
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-09-17 | 2025-09-17 | +0.00% | -4.98% | -11.90% | -23.87% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-09-11 | 2024-09-11 | +4.27% | +4.08% | +5.17% | +7.63% | +7.00% |
| FY2018 | 2018-09-10 | 2018-09-10 | +0.00% | +3.52% | +21.10% | -13.95% | -33.77% |
| FY2017 | 2017-09-15 | 2017-09-15 | -0.72% | -1.44% | +5.04% | -3.60% | +54.15% |
| FY2016 | 2016-09-09 | 2016-09-09 | +1.69% | +1.52% | +26.48% | +60.66% | +19.10% |
| FY2015 | 2015-09-11 | 2015-09-11 | -1.06% | +1.06% | +19.68% | +4.79% | +9.49% |
| FY2014 | 2014-09-12 | 2014-09-12 | +1.20% | -3.10% | -14.81% | -27.63% | -41.96% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.