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positive_eps_streak on ESPEY MFG & ELECTRONICS CORP (ESP)
SIC 3679 — Electronic Components, NEC · CIK 33533 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on ESP
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-09-16 | 2025-09-16 | -12.42% | -16.91% | -27.10% | -14.96% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-09-27 | 2024-09-27 | +21.28% | +21.81% | +24.95% | +13.46% | +67.83% |
| FY2020 | 2020-09-21 | 2020-09-21 | +6.77% | +3.39% | -0.06% | +17.44% | -21.89% |
| FY2019 | 2019-09-16 | 2019-09-16 | -1.77% | -3.77% | -6.15% | -18.82% | -31.67% |
| FY2018 | 2018-09-12 | 2018-09-12 | +13.82% | +18.50% | +10.36% | +6.86% | +0.40% |
| FY2017 | 2017-09-14 | 2017-09-14 | +0.00% | +2.81% | -2.51% | +5.38% | +48.35% |
| FY2016 | 2016-09-12 | 2016-09-12 | -1.43% | +0.77% | +1.82% | +4.40% | -11.55% |
| FY2015 | 2015-09-24 | 2015-09-24 | +1.03% | +5.15% | +2.93% | +11.20% | +12.80% |
| FY2014 | 2014-09-17 | 2014-09-17 | +2.95% | +0.30% | -22.51% | +4.26% | +15.32% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.