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positive_eps_streak on Energy Transfer LP (ET)
SIC 4922 — Natural Gas Transmission · CIK 1276187 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on ET
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-19 | 2026-02-19 | +0.42% | -1.11% | +0.32% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-14 | 2025-02-14 | +1.55% | -5.10% | -5.45% | -8.22% | +1.85% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-16 | 2024-02-16 | +0.62% | +0.96% | +6.94% | +11.25% | +47.64% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-21 | 2020-02-21 | -4.86% | -8.73% | -56.75% | -33.19% | -29.69% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-22 | 2019-02-22 | +0.00% | -2.54% | +0.07% | -2.22% | -17.82% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-23 | 2018-02-23 | -2.16% | -6.35% | -14.73% | +4.29% | -3.76% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-24 | 2017-02-24 | +0.48% | +2.17% | +0.16% | -0.52% | -7.44% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +0.29% | +18.00% | -2.57% | +78.51% | +190.48% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-02 | 2015-03-02 | +0.63% | -0.74% | +0.52% | +10.19% | -76.37% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-27 | 2014-02-27 | -0.46% | +4.83% | +4.45% | +18.20% | +49.98% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-01 | 2013-03-01 | +2.85% | +7.18% | +7.72% | +12.24% | +73.16% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-22 | 2012-02-22 | +0.53% | +0.95% | +0.37% | -9.45% | +26.74% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.