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positive_eps_streak on Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE)

SIC 4700 — Transportation Services · CIK 1324424 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on EXPE

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-132026-02-13-5.76%-11.36%+9.07%
FY20242025-02-072025-02-07+0.31%+0.00%-12.55%-18.43%+20.32%
FY20232024-02-092024-02-09+1.90%+3.16%+4.44%-13.88%+54.53%
FY20192020-02-142020-02-14-1.38%-8.54%-55.29%-46.88%+20.84%
FY20182019-02-082019-02-08-3.19%-2.84%-6.59%-5.82%-15.93%
FY20172018-02-092018-02-09-1.13%-0.14%+10.34%+6.58%+22.98%
FY20162017-02-102017-02-10-2.57%-2.64%+4.07%+13.92%-15.43%
FY20152016-02-112016-02-11-1.08%+5.13%+11.44%+9.18%+19.72%
FY20142015-02-062015-02-06+0.42%+14.92%+16.51%+27.09%+18.46%
FY20132014-02-072014-02-07-0.17%+3.60%+1.25%-5.10%+5.90%
FY20122013-02-062013-02-06-0.46%-0.35%-1.90%-10.02%+0.12%
FY20112012-02-102012-02-10+2.59%-1.40%-4.06%+22.88%+98.77%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1324424/financials