← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · FAST (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on FASTENAL CO (FAST)
SIC 5200 — Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply · CIK 815556 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on FAST
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-05 | 2026-02-05 | +0.85% | -3.78% | -1.84% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-06 | 2025-02-06 | -1.09% | +0.19% | +7.14% | +11.00% | +27.25% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-06 | 2024-02-06 | -0.03% | -0.81% | +6.97% | -1.43% | +8.68% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-07 | 2023-02-07 | -1.51% | -1.38% | -0.99% | +1.67% | +33.53% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-07 | 2022-02-07 | +0.34% | -2.84% | +1.35% | +7.72% | +1.10% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-08 | 2021-02-08 | -0.34% | -1.77% | -3.75% | +14.76% | +14.97% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-06 | 2020-02-06 | -1.45% | +0.90% | -9.87% | -4.75% | +28.88% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-06 | 2019-02-06 | -1.25% | +2.42% | +0.00% | +15.91% | +26.45% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-05 | 2018-02-05 | +1.84% | +1.50% | +8.47% | -4.87% | +21.68% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-06 | 2017-02-06 | -1.15% | -0.52% | +1.94% | -9.57% | +8.18% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-05 | 2016-02-05 | +0.92% | -0.51% | +7.07% | +7.90% | +19.78% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-05 | 2015-02-05 | +0.67% | +0.43% | -3.59% | +3.28% | +5.86% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-06 | 2014-02-06 | -0.27% | +0.72% | +10.60% | +10.40% | -2.35% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-07 | 2013-02-07 | +1.75% | +5.36% | +3.45% | -3.55% | -9.42% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-09 | 2012-02-09 | +0.44% | +5.41% | +9.69% | -8.76% | +8.66% |
| FY2010 | 2011-02-09 | 2011-02-09 | +1.16% | +1.57% | -0.96% | +7.14% | +57.46% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.