← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · FBNC (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on FIRST BANCORP /NC/ (FBNC)
SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 811589 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on FBNC
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-25 | 2026-02-25 | -0.05% | -3.47% | -7.37% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-26 | 2025-02-26 | +0.73% | -1.51% | +0.56% | +1.09% | +41.32% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-28 | 2024-02-28 | +1.70% | +4.08% | +7.81% | -5.78% | +27.19% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-28 | 2023-02-28 | -0.02% | -0.89% | -12.70% | -23.13% | -15.51% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-01 | 2022-03-01 | +4.56% | -1.29% | +2.54% | -13.17% | -0.73% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-26 | 2021-02-26 | +1.86% | +6.11% | +12.22% | +10.42% | +13.35% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-28 | 2020-02-28 | +4.42% | -7.48% | -34.33% | -21.54% | +31.74% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-01 | 2019-03-01 | -0.92% | -4.57% | -10.95% | -7.44% | -13.16% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-01 | 2018-03-01 | +1.07% | +5.04% | +3.53% | +19.45% | +13.62% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-15 | 2017-03-15 | +0.28% | -2.16% | -0.56% | +8.19% | +30.66% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-14 | 2016-03-14 | -0.11% | +1.82% | +4.25% | +5.00% | +56.92% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.