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positive_eps_streak on FirstCash Holdings, Inc. (FCFS)
SIC 5900 — Retail-Miscellaneous Retail · CIK 840489 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on FCFS
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-09 | 2026-02-09 | -0.84% | +0.38% | +6.67% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-03 | 2025-02-03 | +3.88% | +4.85% | +3.27% | +24.00% | +60.52% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-05 | 2024-02-05 | -1.27% | +1.44% | -2.00% | -1.92% | -3.45% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-06 | 2023-02-06 | +2.04% | +2.38% | +0.42% | +14.91% | +33.30% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-28 | 2022-02-28 | -7.01% | -14.33% | -2.53% | -3.77% | +24.98% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-01 | 2021-02-01 | +0.24% | +8.50% | +12.22% | +27.22% | +22.74% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-03 | 2020-02-03 | -1.55% | -1.25% | -7.46% | -11.25% | -32.14% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-05 | 2019-02-05 | +1.29% | +6.43% | +6.63% | +21.91% | +7.56% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-20 | 2018-02-20 | +1.65% | +2.96% | +13.20% | +25.95% | +22.53% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-01 | 2017-03-01 | -2.62% | -6.11% | +1.86% | +17.12% | +61.58% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-17 | 2016-02-17 | +0.27% | +2.24% | +9.17% | +14.74% | +10.92% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-12 | 2015-02-12 | +0.51% | +0.51% | -2.10% | -0.37% | -21.57% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-28 | 2014-02-28 | -2.33% | +0.62% | -7.33% | -1.15% | -9.65% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-22 | 2013-02-22 | -2.69% | -1.22% | +1.13% | +1.08% | -4.50% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.