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positive_eps_streak on FTI CONSULTING, INC (FCN)
SIC 8742 — Services-Management Consulting Services · CIK 887936 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on FCN
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-26 | -2.19% | -1.55% | +1.88% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-20 | 2025-02-20 | +1.04% | +1.14% | -0.67% | +2.36% | -4.10% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-22 | 2024-02-22 | -2.51% | -6.67% | -7.06% | +0.65% | -25.93% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-23 | 2023-02-23 | +1.52% | +1.30% | +6.97% | +0.61% | +21.58% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-24 | 2022-02-24 | +2.49% | +5.20% | +6.25% | +14.02% | +29.72% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-25 | 2021-02-25 | -1.74% | +2.23% | +18.37% | +18.24% | +21.84% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-25 | 2020-02-25 | +4.89% | +1.30% | +6.06% | +4.84% | -0.06% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-02-27 | -0.95% | +0.04% | +1.20% | +7.40% | +48.40% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-22 | 2018-02-22 | +2.70% | +1.00% | +0.87% | +29.28% | +45.01% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | +2.98% | +0.10% | -0.12% | -14.17% | +18.51% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-24 | 2012-02-24 | +0.36% | -4.96% | -7.64% | -23.97% | -14.17% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.