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positive_eps_streak on First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI)

SIC 6035 — Savings Institution, Federally Chartered · CIK 1408534 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on FGBI

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20242025-03-172025-03-17+0.44%+15.16%+18.81%+23.92%+26.23%
FY20232024-03-152024-03-15+0.37%-2.01%-4.61%-3.43%-31.56%
FY20222023-03-162023-03-16-0.24%-3.52%-15.07%-14.83%-32.44%
FY20212022-03-162022-03-16+4.09%+6.41%+5.79%+18.62%-23.53%
FY20202021-03-162021-03-16-3.98%-8.30%-6.53%+1.08%+27.66%
FY20192020-03-162020-03-16+23.43%-2.48%+4.86%-9.26%+41.64%
FY20182019-03-152019-03-15-3.53%-6.12%+4.36%-6.71%-26.67%
FY20172018-03-162018-03-16-6.06%-9.85%-7.05%-3.29%-23.55%
FY20162017-03-302017-03-30+3.64%+1.46%+8.14%+14.44%+23.30%
FY20152016-03-282016-03-28-0.33%+2.61%+3.10%+7.39%+63.54%
FY20142015-03-172015-03-17+0.00%+0.85%-7.11%-3.66%-13.63%
FY20132014-03-272014-03-27+0.00%+0.00%+0.00%+1.15%+40.00%
FY20122013-03-272013-03-27+0.00%+1.15%+15.38%+5.09%+13.65%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1408534/financials