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positive_eps_streak on FLAGSTAR BANK, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION (FLG)

SIC 6036 — Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered · CIK 910073 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on FLG

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20222023-03-012023-03-01-2.73%-4.78%+3.98%+20.12%-57.19%
FY20212022-02-252022-02-25-0.09%-1.90%-5.02%-16.25%-17.50%
FY20202021-02-262021-02-26-0.33%+0.25%+2.21%-1.80%+0.13%
FY20192020-02-282020-02-28+3.61%+8.79%-12.12%-6.51%+20.94%
FY20182019-03-012019-03-01-0.32%-3.40%-8.54%-19.58%-6.08%
FY20142015-03-022015-03-02+0.24%+1.08%+1.38%+7.78%-0.61%
FY20132014-02-282014-02-28-1.00%+1.19%-0.50%-2.22%+11.28%
FY20122013-03-012013-03-01+0.82%+3.88%+6.27%+2.72%+26.24%
FY20112012-02-292012-02-29+0.38%-0.15%+6.46%-0.69%+11.85%
FY20102011-03-012011-03-01-0.99%-2.96%-4.77%-10.56%-23.29%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/910073/financials