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positive_eps_streak on FARMERS & MERCHANTS BANCORP INC (FMAO)
SIC 6035 — Savings Institution, Federally Chartered · CIK 792966 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on FMAO
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | +4.02% | -2.05% | -2.78% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-26 | 2025-02-26 | +0.24% | -4.78% | -4.94% | -5.89% | +5.14% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-27 | 2024-02-27 | -3.45% | +0.79% | +10.84% | +10.94% | +31.20% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-24 | 2023-02-24 | -0.79% | +0.24% | +0.47% | -14.33% | -16.69% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-22 | 2022-02-22 | +0.15% | -4.60% | +7.42% | +13.30% | -18.91% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-24 | 2021-02-24 | -1.87% | +0.51% | +3.95% | -5.81% | +47.33% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-26 | 2020-02-26 | -3.85% | +0.18% | -6.19% | -19.72% | -14.26% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-02-27 | -0.52% | -4.78% | -0.91% | -1.24% | -11.21% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-28 | 2018-02-28 | -5.32% | -1.19% | +10.03% | +13.23% | -16.04% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-22 | 2017-02-22 | +6.72% | +1.76% | +9.39% | +45.14% | +105.44% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-24 | 2016-02-24 | +0.00% | +0.04% | +0.18% | +4.03% | +57.22% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-25 | 2015-02-25 | +0.00% | +0.59% | +2.56% | +4.43% | +11.19% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-26 | 2014-02-26 | +0.00% | -2.78% | +1.05% | +2.12% | +10.66% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-25 | 2013-02-25 | +0.00% | +3.33% | +4.76% | +3.32% | +17.10% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.