← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · FMBH (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on FIRST MID BANCSHARES, INC. (FMBH)
SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 700565 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on FMBH
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | +1.19% | -2.07% | -2.17% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-02-28 | -0.05% | -4.12% | -8.08% | -5.64% | +10.74% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-06 | 2024-03-06 | -0.10% | -0.62% | +1.46% | +3.98% | +17.72% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-03 | 2023-03-03 | -1.09% | -14.13% | -12.81% | -20.32% | +2.23% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-02 | 2022-03-02 | +1.28% | -2.16% | -4.40% | -7.30% | -21.19% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-08 | 2021-03-08 | -2.24% | +1.31% | +5.37% | +4.15% | -3.27% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-09 | 2020-03-09 | +3.10% | -14.11% | -4.49% | +10.85% | +73.46% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-05 | 2019-03-05 | -1.34% | -2.50% | -6.20% | -2.90% | -16.76% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-06 | 2018-03-06 | +1.64% | +4.88% | +3.06% | +7.18% | -2.58% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-06 | 2017-03-06 | +0.21% | -0.06% | +0.00% | -0.95% | +6.44% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-04 | 2016-03-04 | -0.59% | +0.39% | -0.75% | +2.02% | +35.97% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-05 | 2015-03-05 | +0.00% | -1.28% | +2.62% | +4.06% | +33.90% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-06 | 2014-03-06 | -4.11% | -4.11% | -3.88% | -4.12% | -8.53% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-07 | 2013-03-07 | +0.00% | +1.04% | -1.04% | -5.12% | -10.69% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.