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positive_eps_streak on Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. (FMFG)
SIC 6036 — Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered · CIK 1698022 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on FMFG
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-26 | 2026-03-26 | +1.06% | +1.00% | +3.94% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-13 | 2025-03-13 | -0.18% | +8.89% | -10.71% | -0.18% | +10.72% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-11 | 2024-03-11 | +0.00% | +5.59% | +8.07% | +1.47% | +7.26% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-10 | 2023-03-10 | +0.00% | +0.00% | +10.88% | -0.98% | -22.81% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-11 | 2022-03-11 | +0.00% | +2.22% | +0.00% | -0.79% | -1.04% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-19 | 2021-03-19 | -2.50% | -2.50% | +0.00% | +13.00% | +17.87% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-06 | 2020-03-06 | +0.00% | -2.94% | -21.00% | -15.82% | +52.77% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.