← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · FMNB (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on FARMERS NATIONAL BANC CORP /OH/ (FMNB)
SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 709337 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on FMNB
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-05 | -2.41% | -3.58% | +4.44% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-06 | 2025-03-06 | -0.36% | -5.35% | -10.54% | -4.25% | -3.74% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-07 | 2024-03-07 | +0.68% | -5.94% | -3.83% | -9.39% | +2.00% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-09 | 2023-03-09 | -2.67% | -1.75% | -9.60% | -8.23% | +7.41% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-09 | 2022-03-09 | +0.23% | -0.46% | -4.98% | -10.94% | -22.55% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-04 | 2021-03-04 | +4.17% | +9.52% | +11.92% | +15.99% | +20.81% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-05 | 2020-03-05 | -1.21% | -20.89% | -22.93% | -20.62% | +9.80% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-05 | 2019-03-05 | -0.89% | -0.47% | -3.29% | -5.76% | +6.19% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-06 | 2018-03-06 | +1.05% | +1.89% | -0.22% | +11.03% | +3.07% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-07 | 2017-03-07 | -1.77% | -5.30% | -2.83% | -1.41% | +3.37% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-10 | 2016-03-10 | +0.57% | +2.76% | +2.87% | +6.44% | +58.04% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | -0.38% | +2.79% | +3.17% | +3.30% | +9.47% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-13 | 2014-03-13 | -0.53% | -1.20% | +0.80% | +3.60% | +8.30% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-13 | 2013-03-13 | -0.60% | -3.59% | -2.84% | -7.32% | +14.05% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.