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positive_eps_streak on Fidelity National Financial, Inc. (FNF)

SIC 6361 — Title Insurance · CIK 1331875 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on FNF

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-262026-02-26+1.30%-3.83%-11.01%
FY20242025-02-282025-02-28+0.42%-2.45%+1.07%-15.07%-15.72%
FY20232024-02-292024-02-29-0.18%+1.68%+5.97%+1.28%+28.53%
FY20222023-02-272023-02-27+0.48%-5.22%-13.31%-11.13%+31.35%
FY20212022-02-252022-02-25-0.15%-1.49%+6.50%-14.10%-9.20%
FY20202021-03-012021-03-01-0.91%-3.23%+4.32%+17.36%+24.22%
FY20192020-02-142020-02-14-1.33%-3.50%-36.63%-43.49%-8.81%
FY20182019-02-192019-02-19+0.72%-0.78%+0.01%+13.81%+30.74%
FY20172018-02-232018-02-23+1.49%-3.68%+1.16%-1.04%-10.55%
FY20162017-02-272017-02-27+0.60%-0.89%+1.95%+10.01%+49.90%
FY20152016-02-232016-02-23+0.80%+1.19%+0.73%+3.23%+19.73%
FY20142015-03-022015-03-02-0.36%-0.91%+0.96%+5.82%-7.25%
FY20132014-02-282014-02-28-1.91%-1.21%-5.28%+0.78%+37.16%
FY20122013-02-272013-02-27-0.91%+0.00%+0.05%+2.97%+33.94%
FY20112012-02-232012-02-23+0.57%+0.46%-0.49%+6.83%+47.76%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1331875/financials