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positive_eps_streak on First Bancorp, Inc /ME/ (FNLC)

SIC 6021 — National Commercial Banks · CIK 765207 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on FNLC

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-03-062026-03-06-0.79%-1.33%+3.68%
FY20242025-03-072025-03-07-2.82%-2.71%-4.16%-3.03%+14.95%
FY20232024-03-082024-03-08+0.48%-0.04%+3.80%+2.88%+13.69%
FY20222023-03-102023-03-10-3.26%-2.34%-7.25%-4.47%-10.12%
FY20212022-03-112022-03-11+1.04%+0.17%-0.54%+2.86%-5.32%
FY20202021-03-052021-03-05+4.61%+6.44%+4.33%+12.73%+11.23%
FY20192020-03-062020-03-06-5.53%-21.59%-20.17%-20.74%+23.81%
FY20182019-03-082019-03-08+1.36%+2.49%+2.95%-0.03%-2.94%
FY20172018-03-142018-03-14+0.56%+0.60%-2.30%+4.38%-3.86%
FY20162017-03-102017-03-10+0.89%+8.27%-2.76%-4.07%+11.07%
FY20152016-03-112016-03-11-1.06%+0.26%-0.33%+10.69%+50.74%
FY20142015-03-132015-03-13+1.58%+2.56%+2.88%+8.49%+19.35%
FY20132014-03-142014-03-14+0.31%+2.34%+0.03%+4.57%+7.70%
FY20122013-03-082013-03-08-0.34%+3.36%+1.11%-6.15%-2.69%
FY20112012-03-122012-03-12+2.77%+1.82%-6.29%+0.82%+26.89%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/765207/financials