← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · FOR (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Forestar Group Inc. (FOR)
SIC 6500 — Real Estate · CIK 1406587 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on FOR
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-11-19 | 2025-11-19 | +0.56% | +11.69% | +16.15% | +30.06% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-11-19 | 2024-11-19 | -0.76% | +4.50% | -10.37% | -20.56% | -15.59% |
| FY2023 | 2023-11-17 | 2023-11-17 | +2.07% | +4.92% | +8.32% | +5.73% | -5.67% |
| FY2022 | 2022-11-17 | 2022-11-17 | +1.97% | +7.45% | +13.00% | +6.50% | +130.24% |
| FY2021 | 2021-11-18 | 2021-11-18 | -2.75% | -6.86% | -0.98% | -10.22% | -34.86% |
| FY2020 | 2020-11-19 | 2020-11-19 | +0.79% | +4.89% | +9.26% | +14.26% | +9.63% |
| FY2019 | 2019-11-21 | 2019-11-21 | +1.07% | -0.78% | +4.28% | +4.04% | -6.81% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-06 | 2015-03-06 | -0.13% | +0.13% | +3.59% | -13.96% | -27.91% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-11 | 2014-03-11 | -2.64% | -2.33% | -8.60% | -9.68% | -21.03% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-14 | 2013-03-14 | -0.76% | +0.22% | +2.04% | -1.87% | -17.20% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.