← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · FXNC (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on FIRST NATIONAL CORP /VA/ (FXNC)
SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 719402 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on FXNC
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-25 | 2026-03-25 | -0.19% | +2.22% | +5.95% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-31 | 2025-03-31 | -1.07% | -12.03% | -9.04% | -15.04% | +24.34% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-29 | 2024-04-01 | +0.37% | -0.50% | -8.31% | -4.54% | +41.53% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-30 | 2023-03-30 | -0.57% | -2.58% | -8.81% | +5.35% | +5.36% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-30 | 2022-03-30 | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.62% | -13.30% | -22.32% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-31 | 2021-03-31 | +4.82% | +7.12% | +5.51% | +14.20% | +23.55% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-13 | 2020-03-13 | -6.95% | -10.89% | -2.24% | -15.24% | +9.06% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-14 | 2019-03-14 | +1.05% | +0.05% | +1.05% | +6.41% | -13.41% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-23 | 2018-03-23 | +0.27% | +0.00% | +2.96% | +12.14% | +10.19% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-29 | 2017-03-29 | +0.07% | +0.87% | +7.76% | +2.58% | +35.90% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-30 | 2016-03-30 | +0.00% | +0.00% | +2.13% | +9.09% | +56.33% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-27 | 2015-03-27 | +0.51% | +1.02% | -3.55% | +1.29% | -8.46% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.