← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · GATX (all signals) · all methodology

positive_eps_streak on GATX CORP (GATX)

SIC 4700 — Transportation Services · CIK 40211 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on GATX

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-192026-02-19+5.00%-0.82%-12.25%
FY20242025-02-192025-02-19-1.01%-1.60%-5.33%-9.25%+21.43%
FY20232024-02-162024-02-16-0.97%-1.10%+2.99%+8.13%+31.86%
FY20222023-02-162023-02-16+0.11%-1.67%-8.05%+1.35%+15.72%
FY20212022-02-172022-02-17-0.03%+1.34%+17.34%+5.05%+3.73%
FY20202021-02-182021-02-18+3.23%+0.26%-5.37%+5.90%+14.26%
FY20192020-02-192020-02-19+2.44%-4.36%-30.00%-30.20%+26.64%
FY20182019-02-252019-02-25-0.41%-0.79%-7.87%-1.88%-2.09%
FY20172018-02-212018-02-21+0.18%-3.96%-1.97%+3.58%+10.70%
FY20162017-02-222017-02-22-0.27%+2.00%-0.89%-1.08%+26.49%
FY20152016-02-242016-02-24-0.38%+9.14%+12.62%+4.06%+43.66%
FY20142015-02-252015-02-25+0.21%-3.06%-5.92%-11.60%-31.65%
FY20132014-02-252014-02-25+1.73%+4.12%+10.44%+0.96%+2.42%
FY20122013-03-012013-03-01+0.38%+2.35%+3.32%+4.38%+32.49%
FY20112012-03-072012-03-07+2.06%+0.82%-4.01%-13.08%+22.64%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/40211/financials