← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · GBX (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX)
SIC 3743 — Railroad Equipment · CIK 923120 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on GBX
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-10-28 | 2025-10-28 | -7.20% | -7.82% | -1.31% | +13.63% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-10-24 | 2024-10-24 | +1.87% | -1.27% | +10.40% | +17.81% | -22.81% |
| FY2023 | 2023-10-25 | 2023-10-25 | -2.89% | +5.10% | +12.65% | +37.46% | +87.14% |
| FY2022 | 2022-10-31 | 2022-10-31 | +3.68% | +7.20% | +7.74% | -14.80% | +3.25% |
| FY2021 | 2021-10-26 | 2021-10-26 | -4.58% | -0.65% | -3.92% | -11.82% | -34.07% |
| FY2020 | 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-28 | -1.86% | +3.60% | +32.07% | +37.16% | +62.31% |
| FY2019 | 2019-10-29 | 2019-10-29 | -2.42% | +6.05% | -6.09% | -16.04% | -7.77% |
| FY2018 | 2018-10-26 | 2018-10-26 | -3.01% | +0.72% | -5.67% | -15.62% | -35.69% |
| FY2017 | 2017-10-27 | 2017-10-27 | +1.31% | +5.04% | -6.09% | +5.61% | -2.69% |
| FY2016 | 2016-10-25 | 2016-10-25 | -6.52% | -12.03% | +8.11% | +34.66% | +51.46% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.