← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · GEO (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on GEO GROUP INC (GEO)
SIC 1520 — General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs · CIK 923796 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on GEO
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-25 | 2026-02-25 | -1.29% | +2.24% | +18.89% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-02-28 | -4.13% | -12.24% | +7.13% | +0.51% | -44.96% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-29 | 2024-02-29 | -1.47% | -2.36% | +15.08% | +13.45% | +111.08% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-27 | 2023-02-27 | -2.67% | -2.33% | -13.56% | -10.11% | +34.78% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-28 | 2022-02-28 | -3.36% | -7.72% | -1.34% | +17.28% | +52.18% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-16 | 2021-02-16 | -0.23% | -14.07% | -5.93% | -29.53% | -25.12% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-26 | 2020-02-26 | -1.99% | +4.84% | -30.21% | -28.02% | -44.89% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-25 | 2019-02-25 | -0.56% | -1.38% | -20.69% | -2.57% | -25.13% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-26 | 2018-02-26 | -3.26% | -0.09% | -9.19% | +11.70% | +12.03% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-27 | 2017-02-27 | -2.78% | -6.49% | -6.58% | -6.67% | -29.59% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | +1.50% | +2.83% | +15.83% | +12.91% | +85.77% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-26 | 2015-02-26 | +1.31% | +3.17% | +2.32% | -9.35% | -27.10% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-03 | 2014-03-03 | +1.36% | -0.03% | -0.52% | +7.47% | +43.93% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-01 | 2013-03-01 | +0.61% | +3.65% | +8.41% | +7.31% | -0.01% |
| FY2011 | 2012-03-01 | 2012-03-01 | -2.28% | -4.88% | +5.22% | +21.98% | +146.15% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.