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positive_eps_streak on GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK)
SIC 2650 — Paperboard Containers & Boxes · CIK 1408075 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on GPK
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-02 | -4.16% | -8.50% | -19.15% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-12 | 2025-02-12 | +0.64% | +2.46% | -0.83% | -15.31% | -51.98% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-21 | 2024-02-21 | +1.64% | -0.53% | +4.37% | +7.32% | +3.96% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-09 | 2023-02-09 | +1.34% | +2.03% | +2.41% | +12.25% | +10.63% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-22 | 2022-02-22 | -2.71% | -1.23% | -1.53% | +2.03% | +17.80% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-16 | 2021-02-16 | -0.67% | -2.67% | +9.34% | +14.28% | +15.07% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-11 | 2020-02-11 | +0.93% | -1.85% | -19.21% | -19.92% | +6.12% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-13 | 2019-02-13 | -1.03% | +0.00% | -0.67% | +8.72% | +32.69% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-23 | 2018-02-23 | +2.55% | -1.37% | -4.31% | -1.29% | -18.07% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-08 | 2017-02-08 | +0.99% | +4.33% | -2.36% | +8.40% | +13.48% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-12 | 2016-02-12 | +0.69% | -0.95% | +10.77% | +13.44% | +13.46% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-05 | 2015-02-05 | -1.26% | +0.33% | -2.59% | -3.05% | -23.92% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-06 | 2014-02-06 | +3.67% | +10.06% | +9.54% | +8.60% | +55.97% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-07 | 2013-02-07 | +1.26% | +4.76% | +5.87% | +5.73% | +38.32% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.