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positive_eps_streak on GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INC (GVA)
SIC 1600 — Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors · CIK 861459 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on GVA
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-13 | -1.77% | +2.93% | -6.00% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-14 | 2025-02-14 | +1.01% | -6.04% | -15.09% | -1.27% | +53.69% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-23 | 2024-02-23 | -0.99% | +5.15% | +11.15% | +26.18% | +67.22% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-22 | 2019-02-22 | +0.86% | +2.57% | -7.67% | -12.05% | -45.57% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-16 | 2018-02-16 | -0.60% | +0.73% | -2.37% | -3.66% | -18.88% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-17 | 2017-02-17 | +3.00% | +2.38% | -10.24% | -10.27% | +13.43% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.