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positive_eps_streak on HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA)
SIC 8062 — Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC · CIK 860730 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on HCA
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-10 | 2026-02-10 | +5.86% | +6.57% | +7.02% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-14 | 2025-02-14 | +0.16% | +1.06% | +4.11% | +16.67% | +70.47% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-16 | 2024-02-16 | +0.01% | +1.51% | +6.25% | +4.09% | +5.01% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-17 | 2023-02-17 | -2.57% | -5.63% | -2.20% | +5.10% | +19.64% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-18 | 2022-02-18 | +0.09% | +2.54% | +7.38% | -11.34% | +5.17% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-19 | 2021-02-19 | -1.44% | -3.01% | +6.60% | +18.41% | +42.63% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-20 | 2020-02-20 | -0.07% | -14.01% | -43.43% | -33.11% | +20.42% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-21 | 2019-02-21 | +1.43% | -1.81% | -3.31% | -12.78% | +5.51% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-23 | 2018-02-23 | -0.81% | +0.88% | -1.70% | +3.35% | +43.02% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-22 | 2017-02-22 | +0.63% | +2.48% | -3.92% | -5.41% | +17.03% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | -1.75% | +3.63% | +8.52% | +8.21% | +24.62% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-26 | 2015-02-26 | -1.01% | +0.89% | +5.30% | +13.64% | -2.53% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-26 | 2014-02-26 | +2.06% | -0.38% | -0.26% | +3.66% | +43.17% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-27 | 2013-02-27 | +1.12% | +0.63% | +10.22% | +3.33% | +40.46% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.