← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · HGV (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV)
SIC 7000 — Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places · CIK 1674168 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on HGV
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-26 | -4.14% | -3.48% | -13.94% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-03 | 2025-03-03 | -3.46% | -11.63% | -11.91% | -10.60% | +5.11% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-29 | 2024-02-29 | +0.56% | +0.11% | +5.19% | -7.95% | -8.65% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-02 | -2.93% | -20.20% | -39.20% | -16.37% | +52.18% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-28 | 2019-02-28 | +2.86% | +0.72% | -3.27% | -18.65% | -16.14% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.