← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · HLT (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT)
SIC 7011 — Hotels & Motels · CIK 1585689 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on HLT
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-11 | 2026-02-11 | -0.91% | -3.81% | -9.45% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-06 | 2025-02-06 | -0.26% | -0.32% | -8.55% | -11.57% | +16.40% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-07 | 2024-02-07 | -0.75% | -1.70% | +4.62% | +0.85% | +36.83% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-11 | 2020-02-11 | +0.67% | -0.24% | -28.09% | -36.24% | -3.04% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-13 | 2019-02-13 | +1.00% | +4.89% | +7.29% | +15.53% | +43.25% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-14 | 2018-02-14 | -1.64% | -3.01% | -4.57% | -2.50% | -4.18% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-15 | 2017-02-15 | -0.37% | -3.78% | -1.84% | +4.97% | +43.57% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | +0.39% | +5.75% | +7.99% | +0.27% | +38.31% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.