← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · HMN (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on HORACE MANN EDUCATORS CORP /DE/ (HMN)
SIC 6331 — Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance · CIK 850141 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on HMN
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | +2.09% | -0.23% | -1.95% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-02-28 | +0.83% | -1.42% | +1.56% | +4.56% | +5.90% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-27 | 2024-02-27 | +0.44% | -3.42% | -0.35% | -5.68% | +20.27% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-28 | 2023-02-28 | -1.14% | -1.11% | -9.79% | -14.08% | +2.09% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-25 | 2022-02-25 | -0.02% | -1.01% | +0.93% | -4.67% | -8.05% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-26 | 2021-02-26 | +1.63% | +11.34% | +14.57% | +1.86% | +11.36% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-02 | -3.07% | -1.95% | -14.01% | -7.68% | -1.57% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-01 | 2019-03-01 | -1.01% | -5.41% | -10.65% | +3.66% | +6.37% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-01 | 2018-03-01 | +0.72% | +2.77% | +3.81% | +7.57% | -2.60% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-01 | 2017-03-01 | -1.50% | -4.15% | -6.77% | -10.83% | -1.75% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +2.21% | +3.54% | +4.35% | +9.52% | +40.12% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-02 | 2015-03-02 | +0.00% | +0.89% | +6.24% | +8.04% | -0.23% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-03 | 2014-03-03 | +1.47% | +2.77% | +2.49% | +3.90% | +17.54% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-28 | 2013-02-28 | +0.98% | +1.66% | +2.87% | +15.30% | +44.26% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.