← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · HNRG (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on HALLADOR ENERGY CO (HNRG)
SIC 4911 — Electric Services · CIK 788965 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on HNRG
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2018 | 2019-03-11 | 2019-03-11 | +2.75% | +8.26% | -6.97% | +1.91% | -78.59% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-13 | 2018-03-13 | -3.63% | +6.00% | +10.11% | +25.56% | -8.41% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-10 | 2017-03-10 | +0.84% | -0.72% | -4.34% | -0.31% | -17.20% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-11 | 2016-03-11 | -3.17% | -10.39% | -20.25% | -20.84% | +51.06% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-06 | 2015-03-06 | -2.38% | +0.16% | -4.37% | -35.65% | -55.36% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-07 | 2014-03-07 | +1.70% | -3.96% | -3.73% | +3.51% | +41.22% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.