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positive_eps_streak on HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI)
SIC 7350 — Services-Miscellaneous Equipment Rental & Leasing · CIK 1364479 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on HRI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-17 | 2026-02-17 | -1.53% | -0.56% | -26.74% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-13 | 2025-02-13 | +2.76% | -15.77% | -33.59% | -31.58% | -21.65% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-13 | 2024-02-13 | +1.65% | +5.09% | +12.88% | +10.61% | +44.65% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-14 | 2023-02-14 | +5.29% | +0.24% | -20.05% | -29.54% | +7.98% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-10 | 2022-02-10 | -8.77% | -6.86% | -8.04% | -28.31% | -4.28% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-18 | 2021-02-18 | +8.13% | +21.13% | +38.02% | +46.61% | +116.23% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-27 | 2020-02-27 | -2.00% | -12.53% | -39.41% | -34.46% | +134.46% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +12.24% | +25.88% | +21.29% | +0.35% | +102.71% |
| FY2014 | 2015-07-16 | 2015-07-16 | +11.89% | -3.18% | +4.94% | +13.01% | -34.33% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-20 | 2014-03-20 | +2.16% | -4.58% | +4.58% | -0.26% | -19.23% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.