← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · HTBK (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on HERITAGE COMMERCE CORP (HTBK)
SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 1053352 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on HTBK
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-09 | -2.25% | -1.13% | +4.88% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-10 | 2025-03-10 | -1.66% | +0.31% | -12.07% | -2.36% | +32.90% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-11 | 2024-03-11 | -1.52% | -6.20% | -3.86% | -5.78% | +17.21% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-09 | 2023-03-09 | -8.33% | -12.96% | -22.87% | -26.17% | -15.72% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-04 | 2022-03-04 | -2.32% | -0.86% | -0.94% | -0.46% | +5.04% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-05 | 2021-03-05 | +4.85% | +8.59% | +25.78% | +21.32% | +23.08% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-11 | 2020-03-11 | -6.42% | -21.91% | -7.14% | +13.93% | +36.30% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-14 | 2019-03-14 | -0.69% | -6.36% | -4.06% | -5.91% | -34.60% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-16 | 2018-03-16 | -0.06% | -5.21% | -3.93% | +3.66% | -22.64% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-03 | 2017-03-03 | +0.64% | -1.35% | +0.14% | -4.11% | +18.44% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-07 | 2016-03-07 | +0.20% | -0.71% | +0.82% | +10.64% | +48.61% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-06 | 2015-03-06 | +0.60% | +5.31% | +11.34% | +8.81% | +22.37% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-07 | 2014-03-07 | -0.24% | -3.35% | -3.35% | -3.96% | +2.40% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.