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positive_eps_streak on Hilltop Holdings Inc. (HTH)
SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 1265131 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on HTH
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-13 | -0.84% | -4.25% | -10.52% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-14 | 2025-02-14 | +0.13% | -1.84% | -2.03% | -1.63% | +25.02% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-14 | 2024-02-14 | +2.40% | -0.19% | -3.11% | +2.63% | +4.73% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-17 | 2023-02-17 | -3.07% | -4.45% | -15.53% | -10.59% | -9.53% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-15 | 2022-02-15 | -1.99% | -6.53% | -6.80% | -13.18% | +4.26% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-17 | 2021-02-17 | -1.84% | +6.31% | +18.85% | +15.31% | +7.03% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-27 | 2020-02-27 | -0.14% | +6.04% | -25.12% | -18.65% | +61.33% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-15 | 2019-02-15 | +1.95% | +4.86% | -4.65% | +8.46% | +18.32% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-15 | 2018-02-15 | +0.28% | -1.34% | +0.63% | -11.61% | -22.71% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-16 | 2017-02-16 | -0.53% | -0.92% | -1.24% | -8.12% | -9.39% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-24 | 2016-02-24 | +4.70% | +16.29% | +18.74% | +23.95% | +83.96% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.