← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · HTLD (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC (HTLD)
SIC 4213 — Trucking (No Local) · CIK 799233 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on HTLD
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2020 | 2021-02-22 | 2021-02-22 | -0.92% | -0.27% | +2.91% | -0.17% | -19.56% |
| FY2019 | 2020-07-21 | 2020-07-21 | -5.99% | -6.27% | -4.69% | -7.53% | -22.76% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-21 | 2019-02-21 | -0.72% | -4.11% | -7.45% | -6.01% | -4.29% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-01 | 2018-03-01 | +1.07% | -0.51% | -7.89% | -3.69% | +1.37% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | +2.56% | -2.94% | -3.95% | -6.51% | -5.53% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +0.38% | +3.26% | +2.67% | -1.69% | +13.19% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-02 | 2015-03-02 | -3.31% | -3.75% | -6.95% | -15.60% | -26.83% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-03 | 2014-03-03 | +2.15% | +7.93% | +11.16% | +6.51% | +20.33% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-01 | 2013-03-01 | -0.22% | +1.03% | -2.73% | +5.60% | +51.25% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-28 | 2012-02-28 | -0.21% | -1.31% | +2.83% | -1.73% | +1.63% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.