← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · HWM (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)
SIC 3350 — Rolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous Metals · CIK 4281 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on HWM
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-12 | 2026-02-12 | +2.21% | +5.44% | -3.28% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-14 | 2025-02-14 | +2.44% | -2.89% | -3.11% | +18.72% | +87.35% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-13 | 2024-02-13 | +2.26% | +2.48% | +5.89% | +32.43% | +115.91% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-14 | 2023-02-14 | +0.91% | -2.39% | -8.46% | +2.28% | +47.60% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-14 | 2022-02-14 | +2.70% | +1.00% | +0.09% | -1.50% | +27.82% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-16 | 2021-02-16 | +0.92% | +2.47% | +9.73% | +12.33% | +20.28% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-19 | 2016-11-01 | -5.18% | -7.50% | +2.43% | +19.54% | +34.43% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.