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positive_eps_streak on Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR)

SIC 6211 — Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies · CIK 1381197 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on IBKR

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-272026-02-27+0.67%-6.31%-9.82%
FY20242025-02-272025-02-27+0.57%-6.67%-16.85%+1.65%+41.77%
FY20232024-02-272024-02-27+1.40%+2.45%+3.04%+16.89%+92.28%
FY20222023-02-242023-02-24-0.08%+3.42%-10.77%-12.26%+24.58%
FY20212022-02-252022-02-25-3.30%-14.26%-3.57%-15.91%+26.54%
FY20202021-03-012021-03-01-1.29%-1.19%-5.51%-12.84%-13.29%
FY20192020-02-282020-02-28+6.13%-6.07%-18.94%-20.68%+51.35%
FY20182019-02-282019-02-28+0.58%-2.93%-6.17%-3.20%-6.73%
FY20172018-03-012018-03-01+2.05%+7.52%+1.17%+17.03%-17.49%
FY20162017-02-282017-02-28+4.60%+1.61%-5.28%-5.07%+90.65%
FY20152016-02-292016-02-29+4.36%+13.52%+14.37%+14.14%+8.59%
FY20142015-03-022015-03-02-0.61%-0.34%+3.79%+9.37%+10.04%
FY20132014-03-032014-03-03+3.86%+3.35%-0.46%+5.69%+51.81%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1381197/financials