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positive_eps_streak on Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP)
SIC 1520 — General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs · CIK 1580905 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on IBP
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-26 | +1.79% | -3.00% | -17.04% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-27 | 2025-02-27 | +0.79% | +2.29% | +2.57% | -6.81% | +95.25% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-22 | 2024-02-22 | +4.95% | +7.12% | +16.29% | -4.26% | -22.33% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-22 | 2023-02-22 | +3.11% | +5.38% | -4.20% | +3.65% | +113.24% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-24 | 2022-02-24 | -2.27% | +5.91% | -5.80% | -6.67% | +25.65% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-24 | 2021-02-24 | -4.51% | -2.94% | -5.52% | +3.98% | -13.86% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-27 | 2020-02-27 | -4.01% | +0.87% | -31.57% | -10.49% | +58.93% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-28 | 2019-02-28 | +7.52% | +6.69% | +10.29% | +26.00% | +51.42% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-28 | 2018-02-28 | -7.03% | +3.93% | -0.33% | +1.76% | -21.51% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | +5.10% | +3.93% | +10.20% | +3.61% | +26.99% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-09 | 2016-03-09 | -1.78% | +5.72% | +16.90% | +49.35% | +112.74% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.