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positive_eps_streak on ICF International, Inc. (ICFI)
SIC 8742 — Services-Management Consulting Services · CIK 1362004 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on ICFI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | -6.39% | -8.64% | -21.92% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-02-28 | -1.99% | +6.80% | +8.90% | +9.63% | -1.52% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-28 | 2024-02-28 | +1.34% | +0.77% | -2.45% | -6.55% | -48.97% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-01 | 2023-03-01 | +2.67% | +0.31% | -0.72% | +1.06% | +44.85% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-25 | 2022-02-25 | -0.48% | +1.10% | +5.72% | +5.97% | +12.35% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-26 | 2021-02-26 | +3.25% | +4.97% | +6.43% | +8.65% | +7.35% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-28 | 2020-02-28 | +7.29% | +8.58% | -14.52% | -16.10% | +14.33% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-02-27 | +0.20% | -0.11% | +1.34% | -2.28% | +4.48% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-28 | 2018-02-28 | +5.18% | +5.61% | +1.82% | +18.26% | +34.86% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | -1.05% | -1.98% | -3.73% | +8.50% | +32.71% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-08 | 2016-03-08 | +1.60% | +4.66% | +13.03% | +32.51% | +37.66% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | +0.12% | -1.81% | -0.76% | -14.22% | -19.38% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-28 | 2014-02-28 | -0.47% | -0.15% | -3.79% | -8.46% | +3.79% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-01 | 2013-03-01 | +0.69% | +6.72% | +7.74% | +20.86% | +62.94% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.