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positive_eps_streak on INTERNATIONAL PAPER CO /NEW/ (IP)
SIC 2621 — Paper Mills · CIK 51434 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on IP
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2025-02-21 | 2025-02-21 | +0.37% | +2.27% | -6.73% | -8.36% | -16.72% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-16 | 2024-02-16 | -0.17% | -4.35% | -1.12% | +12.77% | +63.37% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-17 | 2023-02-17 | -5.64% | -4.42% | -8.99% | -17.74% | -4.08% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-18 | 2022-02-18 | +0.36% | -6.87% | -4.24% | +5.22% | -18.81% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-19 | 2021-02-19 | +0.92% | +1.43% | +9.46% | +30.95% | +3.14% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-19 | 2020-02-19 | +1.81% | -7.98% | -26.64% | -25.17% | +19.37% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-20 | 2019-02-20 | -2.07% | -2.28% | -5.38% | -4.99% | -5.66% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-22 | 2018-02-22 | +2.04% | +0.09% | -11.83% | -5.75% | -15.10% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-22 | 2017-02-22 | +0.37% | +3.15% | -1.65% | -2.33% | +16.03% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-25 | 2016-02-25 | +1.29% | +10.12% | +17.25% | +16.21% | +57.28% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-26 | 2015-02-26 | -0.62% | -2.10% | -4.49% | -5.74% | -35.43% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-27 | 2014-02-27 | +0.08% | -1.47% | -6.69% | -3.53% | +20.60% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-26 | 2013-02-26 | +3.04% | +5.87% | +7.06% | +9.46% | +17.94% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-27 | 2012-02-27 | +2.12% | +4.66% | +6.10% | -11.76% | +34.10% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.