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positive_eps_streak on ST JOE Co (JOE)
SIC 6552 — Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries) · CIK 745308 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on JOE
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-25 | 2026-02-25 | +1.18% | +4.32% | -10.40% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-26 | 2025-02-26 | +2.82% | +1.23% | +1.85% | -6.53% | +57.21% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-21 | 2024-02-21 | +1.49% | -3.48% | -0.85% | +6.09% | -16.50% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-22 | 2023-02-22 | -1.97% | -5.71% | -11.78% | +2.27% | +24.43% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-23 | 2022-02-23 | +10.12% | +24.03% | +26.69% | +3.82% | -6.83% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-24 | 2021-02-24 | +2.66% | -3.66% | -16.14% | -14.41% | -10.11% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-26 | 2020-02-26 | -0.66% | +3.89% | -17.98% | -6.16% | +168.09% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-02-27 | +0.00% | -2.90% | +6.24% | +4.44% | +26.58% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | +0.65% | -3.06% | +5.36% | -10.83% | -10.48% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.